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Starting Pitchers Can Help Make Dodgers-Braves Go Under High Total

20 November, 2019


Both teams are coming off tough losses, the Marlins beat the Dodgers 13-7 in Miami while the Braves dropped their series finale from the Mets 10-8. The Dodgers have a comfortable 19-game lead within the Diamondbacks in the National League West and the Braves lead the Nationals by 5.5 games in the National League East.
Pitching Matchup:
Kenta Maeda (8-8, 4.12 ERA, 1.09 WHIP) vs. Mike Soroka (10-2, 2.32 ERA, 1.08 WHIP)
Kenta Maeda had lost his last six decisions and he bounced back from two poor outings by throwing seven scoreless innings of both three-hit ball with six strikeouts and zero walks in a 4-0 win against the Diamondbacks last Saturday. The right-hander is still just 1-2 with a 5.57 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP in his previous six appearances (five starts) and he is 2-5 with a 5.66 ERA along with a 1.38 WHIP at 12 road starts.
Mike Soroka is winless since July 14 but he dominated that the Marlins last Saturday, throwing seven scoreless innings of three-hit ball six strikeouts against a walk to receive a no-decision at a 7-6 win. The 22-year-old is 0-1 with a 2.56 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in his final five starts and 4-2 with a 4.08 ERA along with a 1.39 WHIP in eight home begins. This is Soroka’s first career start against the Dodgers.
MLB Trends:
The Under is:
Maeda and Soroka have an On-Base Percentage (OBP) beneath .275, a Weighted On-Base Average (wOBA) under .278 and opponents are hitting .228 contrary to them. Maeda is 2-0 with an 0.68 ERA along with also an 0.83 WHIP in 2 career starts against the Braves (he hasn’t faced them because 2017) and he’s been a far better pitcher in the home.
The current Braves roster is merely 4-for-31 (.129) against Maeda along with the projected Braves lineup has only three batters using Isolated Power (ISO) above .185. Soroka, on the other hand, is a much greater pitcher on the street but this is a really substantial total.

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